Monday, February 04, 2008
Front Loading Buyer's Remorse
Tuesday is supposed to be the big day, so claim pundits, that will annoint the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees. Never mind the conventions are still months away.
And how did we get into this mess? This train-wreck started brewing long before 2007 passed into the history books as states sought to seek more influence in the nomination process. Traditionally New Hampshire and Iowa were the only early caucuses. With more such in the following months culminating in the big convention galas. Then came the Super Tuesday bundling of primaries, of which we are about to see on Fat Tuesday - who thought of that one? Super Tuesday is where many delegates are won across the nation. But not enough to actually lock up the nomination until the other caucuses have happened. But states like Nevada and Florida along with Michigan decided to move their caucuses to before Super Tuesday. This has drastically changed the delegate dynamics of the nomination process. Adding all the delegates won prior to Super Tuesday to the delegates up for grabs on Tuesday means there is a possibility, that before a lot of America is paying attention to who is running for President, many candidates will be knocked out of the race. Which means voters will vote on candidates that have been selected by far fewer people than in previous election cycles. Which also means some voters just might feel a disconnect with the process since the nominee was selected before they could voice their opinion via voting on candidates. And dissatisfied voters just might stay at home, further dropping the already abysmal participation rate of the United States.