Hurricane Dean continues to churn through the Caribbean towards running over Jamaica tomorrow. As of 11AM Eastern the prediction is Dean reaching winds of 155MPH about 8AM Sunday with landfall in Jamaica happening about 2PM with winds of 150MPH.
Last night's 11PM update/prediction for Dean and Jamaica was a 2PM Sunday landfall at 155MPH.
Though one thing is still true from each update, after Jamaica Dean is expected to strengthen to 160MPH before hitting the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday about 2AM with winds of about 125MPH.
There is one bit of troubling information, the expected landfall in Yucatan has shifted slightly to the north so Dean will graze the very tip.
As for where Dean will land when it truly hits North America, that is a bit fuzzy. While the Yucatan strike has shifted north slightly, the cone of probability has shrunk so Houston is no longer in that cone. Landfall for the eye is predicted for Mexico about 10PM on Wednesday with winds of 125MPH about 100 miles south of Brownsville, TX.
Of course all of this is subject to change. There is a massive trough of rain hovering over the southern US of which Erin is now part. Dean may veer towards that. Dean may just fizzle. Or Dean will keep going the way its going.